Spain vs Chile

After much being made of Spain’s embarrassing defeat to Holland in their opening game, they will want to bounce back. Chile looked relatively decent against Australia, but never excelled against a weaker side, opening themselves up to a comeback. I think Spain have too good a squad and too good a coach to let this happen again. They have time now to look back and adjust their approach, make changes and get their heads back together. Chile will be optimistic, but their attacking game is probably not best suited to playing Spain. I think Spain to win and both teams to score @15/8 is a sensible bet. They will have opportunities to counter attack and use their pace, a bit like Holland did, but they made leave themselves exposed in midfield and struggle when Spain try to dominate possession and be precise in the opposition third.

Its difficult to predict Spain’s starting lineup, with the poor performances against Holland. Diego Costa may well be dropped and the likes of Pedro and Fabregas will both be looking for starts. For this reason, I would avoid goalscorer markets in this game. They looked dangerous at times against Holland in the first half – it was after the break where it started to fall apart, but they will be move nervous and potentially more open to the counter-attack in this game. A decent shout is over 1.5 goals in 1st half @11/8.  Due to the potential fast start, with Spain needing goals and Chile having no intention of going defensive on previous record, Chile/Spain in ht/ft @22/1 also seems like a plausible option.

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