Australia vs Netherlands

Should be a relatively straight forward match for the Dutch side, despite Australia showing some fight in their first match vs Chile. Naturally, we’ll be looking around for some value as a Holland win is priced at around 2/9, even Holland -1 is 8/13. I would avoid the corners market, purely because Holland only had one corner in their opening game 5-1 win against Spain – its difficult to tell whether this is because of Spain’s higher possession and playing style or that Holland just aren’t going to get many corners in general.

I’ve picked out Holland to win to nil @11/10 as one to go for, mainly because of the strength of van Gaal’s defence in the opener. They looked like they could be susceptible to balls through the middle to Costa at times, but Australia’s main threat will probably come from different avenues towards Cahill. I’d back Indi, Vlaar and de Vrij to cope with the Aussie’s threat. Holland & over 2.5 goals in the match @4/6 appears to be a good bet – its better value than straight Holland to win and it can cover a goal from Australia in case of a 2-1 or 3-1 or something similar.

In terms of goalscorer markets, I’d be looking at van Persie and Robben again after their excellent performance in the opening game and the fact that they were the main threats going forward. However, as you’d expect, the odds on these to score or to score first aren’t the best. Both Robben and RVP are worse than evens to score anytime. One bet I did find on SkyBet was Robben to score from outside the area @5/1 which might be worth a shout, considering the amount he likes to cut inside and shoot from the right. I’d be slightly worried about the amount of game time van Persie and maybe Robben will get, particularly if Holland go 2 or 3 up inside 60mins.

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